Lok Sabha 2019 election are in the full swing elections are conducted in several phases for around a month time. Tamilnadu faced Indian General Election 2019 in Phase 2. When compared to 2014 Indian General election 2019 has more twist and turn in Tamilnadu as well as in Central.

Based on the public opinion and previous results and few other factors 2019 results are calculated by systematically. Here are some breakdowns over the 5 years that play a major role in the 2019 election. Rather than BJP and Congress its DMK vs ADMK the real fights are between. The winner of the game would able to grab the seats of Cheif Minister’s throne in 2020 Tamilnadu State assembly election.

Factors that change over the period of 5 years

  • Modi’s Positive has spread all over India apart from the Major political party all other parties don’t want to be part of DMK and ADMK so they decided to make an alliance with BJP. MDMK, VCK, DMDK, PMK, IJK and other parties formed an alliance with Modi. But the results were unexpected ADMK under Jayalalitha’s control made clean sweep ADMK won 37/39. It was so clear Modi wave didn’t reach South India.
  • BJP made a historical win all over India expect in South which made them failed to concentrate in Tamilnadu. On the very first day Oath Ceremony MDMK left the alliance since BJP invited Mahinda Rajapakse for the Ceremony which made other parties to quit the alliance as well.
  • On the 2016 Tamilnadu General Election, all minor parties like MDMK, DMDK, VCK, CPI, CPM, and TMC manage to start a mega alliance called People Welfare Front. PMK made an individual stand. When all exit poll predicts victory for DMK, PWF votes made DMK lose in several places which gave victory to ADMK and Jayalalitha become the Chief Minister.
  • Jayalalitha was imprisoned for the illegal assets case along with Sasikala. O.Pannerselvam became Chief Minister
  • Jayalalitha was released from Jail and judgment postponed for several months. J.Jayalalithaa became Chief Minister once again. Jayalalithaa was admitted in Apollo and passed away and O.Panneerselvam become Chief Minister.
  • O.Panneerselvam resigned from Chief Minister posting and Sasikala tried to become Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu
    Sasikala locked down all MLAs in Golden Bay resort to favor the voting for her. O. Panneerselvam Started Dharmayudham. Sasikala imprisoned and confirmed as accused of illegal assets and Edappadi PalaniSamy became Chief Minister of Tamilnadu.
  • EPS and OPS united and became Chief Minister and Deputy Chief Minister.
  • DMK leader Kalaingar’s demises.
  • Jallikattu Issue, Sterlite Issue, Neutrino, NEET, and Salem 8 Ways road.

Poll Prediction

S.NoConstituencyWinnerRunnerThirdFourthRemarks
1.TiruvallurINCADMKAMMKMNM 
2.Chennai NorthDMKDMDKAMMKMNM 
3.Chennai CentralDMKPMKMNMAMMK 
4.Chennai SouthADMKDMKMNMAMMK AMMK,MNM votes may change the results
5.SriperambudurDMKPMKAMMKMNM 
6.KancheepuramADMKDMKMNMAMMKAMMK votes may change the results
7.ArakonamDMKADMKAMMKNTK 
8.Vellore 
9.KrishnagiriDMKADMKAMMKMNM AMMK,MNM votes may change the results
10.DharmapuriPMKDMKAMMKMNM 
11.TiruvannamalaiDMKADMKAMMKMNM AMMK votes may change the results
12.AraniDMKADMKAMMKMNM 
13.VillupuramDMKPMKAMMKMNM 
14.KallakurichiDMKAMMKDMDKNTK 
15.SalemDMKADMKAMMKMNM 
16.NamakkalDMKADMKAMMKMNM 
17.ErodeDMKADMKAMMKMNM 
18.TiruppurADMKCPIAMMKMNM 
19.NilgirisDMKADMKAMMKMNM 
20.CoimbatoreCPMBJPMNMAMMK AMMK,MNM votes may change the results
21.PollachiDMKAMMKADMKMNM 
22.DindigulDMKAMMKPMKMNM 
23.KarurINCADMKAMMKMNM 
24.TiruchirappalliINCADMKAMMKMNM 
25.PerambalurADMKDMKAMMKMNM 
26.CuddaloreDMKPMKAMMKNTK 
27.ChidambaramVCKADMKAMMKMNM 
28.MayiladuthuraiDMKADMKAMMKMNM 
29.NagapattinamCPIADMKMNMAMMK 
30.ThanjavurDMKAMMKTMCNTK 
31.SivagangaINCAMMKBJPNTK 
32.MaduraiCPMADMKAMMKMNM 
33.TheniADMKINCAMMKMNM AMMK votes may change the results. More chances of TTV may lead
34.VirudhunagarINCDMDKMNMAMMK 
35.RamanathapuramIUMLBJPMNMAMMK 
36.ThoothukkudiDMKBJPAMMKMNM 
37.TenkasiDMKADMKAMMKMNM 
38.TirunelveliDMKADMKAMMKMNM 
39.KanniyakumariDMKBJPAMMKMNM 

Opinion Poll Results of the 2019 Lok Sabha Election of Tamil Nadu by alliances/parties:

Opinion Poll Results of the 2019 Lok Sabha Election of Tamil Nadu by alliances/parties:

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